SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 67.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
67.98% ( -0.21) | 18.62% ( 0.11) | 13.4% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.76% ( -0.31) | 40.23% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.39% ( -0.32) | 62.6% ( 0.32) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.15% ( -0.14) | 10.85% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.05% ( -0.31) | 34.94% ( 0.31) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.24% ( -0.06) | 41.75% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.78% ( -0.05) | 78.22% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.15% Total : 67.98% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.62% | 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.4% |
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