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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | AC Milan |
49.27% ( 0.51) | 24.28% ( 0.08) | 26.45% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 55.48% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.46% ( -0.8) | 46.54% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.18% ( -0.76) | 68.82% ( 0.76) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( -0.11) | 18.95% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.53% ( -0.18) | 50.47% ( 0.18) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.45% ( -0.88) | 31.55% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.05% ( -1.02) | 67.95% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.21% Total : 49.27% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.45% |
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