Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.48%) and 1-3 (5.13%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Chelsea |
35.82% (![]() | 22.19% (![]() | 41.99% (![]() |
Both teams to score 68.28% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.06% (![]() | 31.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.51% (![]() | 53.49% (![]() |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.34% (![]() | 18.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.01% (![]() | 49.99% (![]() |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.95% (![]() | 16.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.58% (![]() | 45.41% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Chelsea |
2-1 @ 7.72% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.22% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.82% | 1-1 @ 9.2% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.06% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.41% ( ![]() Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 8.41% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.77% Total : 41.99% |
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