Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 12.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
-1.37) 
0.37) 
