Philadelphia Union and Cincinnati have enjoyed a solid campaign and find themselves in the upper echelons of the Eastern Conference table. The Union's home record in this fixture makes them slight favourites and we see them claiming all three points in this one.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
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