Portland come into this match as the side in better form, but Minnesota have one of the better away records in the division.
Therefore, we think this will be a closely-fought contest with the sides sharing the spoils.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
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