SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.55%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 9.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
76.55% ( -2.27) | 14.43% ( 0.78) | 9.01% ( 1.49) |
| Both teams to score 51.9% ( 4.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.53% ( 1.8) | 32.47% ( -1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.89% ( 2.06) | 54.11% ( -2.06) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.02% ( -0.06) | 6.97% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.46% ( -0.15) | 25.54% ( 0.15) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.79% ( 4.79) | 44.21% ( -4.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.7% ( 3.66) | 80.3% ( -3.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 2-0 @ 10.93% ( -1.16) 3-0 @ 9.71% ( -1.06)2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.3)1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.84)3-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.73)4-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.4)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.49)5-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.32)6-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.18)6-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.57% Total : 76.55% | 1-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.57)0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.31)Other @ 1.01% Total : 14.43% | 1-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.26)Other @ 1.75% Total : 9.01% |
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