While New England are getting some attacking pieces back, it might take those players some time to get back into game shape, while they are becoming a little too dependent on Carles Gil to create chances.
The Red Bulls are much sharper defensively at home, and we expect to see a determined side that will be out to prove that their second-half performance last week was just a minor hiccup.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
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