SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
52.97% ( -1.3) | 26.52% ( 0.59) | 20.52% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 42.63% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.82% ( -1.22) | 60.18% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.63% ( -0.94) | 80.38% ( 0.94) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% ( -1.07) | 22.92% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.31% ( -1.61) | 56.69% ( 1.61) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.31% ( 0.08) | 44.7% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.31% ( 0.06) | 80.69% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 15.09% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.2)2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.22)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.56% Total : 52.96% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.51% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 20.52% |
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