Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Velez Sarsfield | Draw | River Plate |
29.48% ( -0.25) | 25.36% ( 0.02) | 45.15% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.72% ( -0.21) | 49.28% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.66% ( -0.19) | 71.33% ( 0.19) |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.3% ( -0.28) | 30.7% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.04% ( -0.34) | 66.96% ( 0.34) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.18% ( 0.01) | 21.81% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.97% ( 0.02) | 55.03% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Velez Sarsfield | Draw | River Plate |
1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.48% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.14% |
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