Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Santos Laguna	Draw	Toluca
26.59% ( 1.55)	23.08% ( 0.74)	50.33% ( -2.29)

Both teams to score 59.68% (

-1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.96% (

-2.09)

41.04% (

2.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.57% (

-2.16)

63.43% (

2.16)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.44% (

0.06)

28.55% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.65% (

0.07)

64.34% (

-0.08)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.54% (

-1.55)

16.46% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.84% (

-2.87)

46.15% (

2.86)

Score Analysis

Santos Laguna 26.59%

Toluca 50.33%

Draw 23.07%

Santos Laguna	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.51% Total : 26.59%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.43) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.07%	1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.77% ( -0.37) 0-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.32) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.26) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.2) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.33%