Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.6%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
0.84) 
-0.25) 
