SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
28.37% ( 0.48) | 23.13% ( 0.08) | 48.5% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 61.03% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.07% ( -0.04) | 39.93% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.71% ( -0.04) | 62.29% ( 0.04) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% ( 0.31) | 26.72% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.02% ( 0.4) | 61.98% ( -0.4) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.28% ( -0.22) | 16.72% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.38% ( -0.4) | 46.62% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 2-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.2% Total : 28.37% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.26% Total : 48.5% |
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