SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 13.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.72%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
13.61% ( -0.08) | 19.86% ( 0.1) | 66.53% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.28% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( -0.63) | 45.37% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( -0.6) | 67.71% ( 0.6) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.33% ( -0.51) | 44.67% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.33% ( -0.42) | 80.67% ( 0.42) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.26% ( -0.19) | 12.73% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.02% ( -0.4) | 38.98% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 1.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.3% Total : 13.61% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.8% Total : 19.86% | 0-2 @ 12.08% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.23)1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 8.3% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.69% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.45% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.02% Total : 66.52% |
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