SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 71.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 9.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.56%) and 0-3 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
9.23% ( 0.03) | 19.15% ( 0.04) | 71.62% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 36.71% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.85% ( -0.07) | 53.14% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.28% ( -0.06) | 74.72% ( 0.06) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.48% ( 0.01) | 57.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.67% ( 0) | 89.33% ( -0.01) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.4% ( -0.04) | 13.6% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.27% ( -0.08) | 40.73% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 2.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 1.32% Total : 9.23% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.15% | 0-1 @ 15.6% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 15.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 10.35% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 71.61% |
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