Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Braga had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 3-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
74.47% (![]() | 14.93% (![]() | 10.61% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.92% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.47% (![]() | 29.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.38% (![]() | 50.62% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.28% (![]() | 6.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.14% (![]() | 24.86% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.02% (![]() | 38.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.29% (![]() | 75.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
2-0 @ 9.55% (![]() 2-1 @ 9% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.6% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.1% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 4.29% Total : 74.47% | 1-1 @ 6.66% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 14.93% | 1-2 @ 3.14% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1.53% Total : 10.61% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: