SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
66.32% ( -0.31) | 20.24% ( 0.18) | 13.44% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.66% ( -0.44) | 47.33% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.44% ( -0.4) | 69.55% ( 0.4) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( -0.23) | 13.39% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.68% ( -0.46) | 40.32% ( 0.45) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.85% ( -0.06) | 46.15% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.16% ( -0.04) | 81.83% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 2-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 66.31% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.18% Total : 13.44% |
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