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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 14, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
LL

Stuttgart
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Guirassy (57' pen.)
Anton (64'), Bredlow (68'), Coulibaly (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Palacios (70' pen.)
Bakker (50'), Hincapie (60'), Wirtz (75'), Demirbay (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen

Stuttgart could be facing Leverkusen at the absolute perfect moment in the campaign, with the visitors almost certainly set to make several changes ahead of one of their biggest games of the season against Roma. The visitors will have plenty of players keen to impress their manager, of course, but the hosts' desperation for all three points should help them towards a crucial victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen
34.6% (-0.262 -0.26) 25.08% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 40.32% (0.265 0.27)
Both teams to score 57.19% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.74% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)46.26% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.44% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)68.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (-0.161 -0.16)25.9% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.11% (-0.219 -0.22)60.89% (0.218 0.22)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18% (0.122 0.12)22.81% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.47% (0.182 0.18)56.53% (-0.184 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 34.6%
    Bayer Leverkusen 40.32%
    Draw 25.07%
StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 34.6%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 8.73% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.45% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-3 Frankfurt
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Stuttgart
Friday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Dortmund
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-3 Stuttgart
Sunday, April 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Roma 1-0 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, May 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-2 FC Koln
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, April 23 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union SG 1-4 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-0 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, April 16 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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