SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
47.53% ( 0.03) | 24.08% ( -0.03) | 28.38% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.7% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.67% ( 0.14) | 44.33% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% ( 0.13) | 66.7% ( -0.13) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% ( 0.06) | 18.78% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.81% ( 0.1) | 50.19% ( -0.1) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( 0.07) | 28.96% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% ( 0.09) | 64.85% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 47.53% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 28.38% |
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