SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 69.86%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
69.86% ( -0.02) | 16.39% ( 0.01) | 13.75% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.87% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.79% ( -0.02) | 28.21% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51% ( -0.02) | 49% ( 0.02) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.71% ( -0.01) | 7.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.63% ( -0.02) | 26.37% ( 0.02) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.73% ( -0) | 33.27% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.12% ( -0) | 69.88% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.99% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.26% 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.23% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.75% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.4% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.88% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.74% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.51% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 69.86% | 1-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.42% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.33% Total : 16.39% | 1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.67% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.85% 0-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 13.75% |
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