Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Inter Miami |
41.91% ( -3.13) | 22.86% ( -0.02) | 35.23% ( 3.15) |
Both teams to score 65.53% ( 1.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.54% ( 1.15) | 35.46% ( -1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.5% ( 1.26) | 57.5% ( -1.26) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.48% ( -0.78) | 17.52% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.96% ( -1.38) | 48.04% ( 1.38) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% ( 2.22) | 20.55% ( -2.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.94% ( 3.4) | 53.06% ( -3.4) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.37) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.54) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.46) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.24) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.18% Total : 41.91% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.39) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.46) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.32) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.28) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.23% |
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