Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
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0.02) 
