SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 93.63%. A draw had a probability of 5% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 1.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.56%) and 2-0 (12.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.34%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (0.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
93.63% ( 1.26) | 5.03% ( -0.88) | 1.33% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 28.62% ( -2.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.1% ( 1.87) | 23.89% ( -1.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.54% ( 2.46) | 43.45% ( -2.46) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.39% ( 0.44) | 2.61% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 87.88% ( 1.57) | 12.12% ( -1.57) |
| Sao Tome & Principe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 29.38% ( -2.25) | 70.61% ( 2.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 4.81% ( -0.82) | 95.18% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tunisia | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
| 3-0 @ 14.88% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 13.56% ( 0.67)2-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.45)5-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.9)1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.56)6-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.78)3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.44)4-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.57)5-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)7-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.52)6-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.1)8-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.29)7-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.17)Other @ 4.06% Total : 93.62% | 1-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.85% Total : 5.03% | Other @ 1.33% Total : 1.33% |
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