Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 83.81%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 3.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.73%) and 1-0 (14.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.72%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
Result | ||
Uruguay | Draw | Bolivia |
83.81% (![]() | 12.34% (![]() | 3.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 28.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.49% (![]() | 45.51% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.17% (![]() | 67.84% (![]() |
Uruguay Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.72% (![]() | 8.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.09% (![]() | 28.91% (![]() |
Bolivia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
30.92% (![]() | 69.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
5.37% (![]() | 94.63% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Uruguay | Draw | Bolivia |
2-0 @ 17.75% (![]() 3-0 @ 14.73% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 14.25% 4-0 @ 9.18% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 3.3% Total : 83.8% | 0-0 @ 5.72% (![]() 1-1 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 12.34% | 0-1 @ 2.12% (![]() 1-2 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.76% Total : 3.85% |
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