SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Venezuela | Draw | Brazil |
21.36% ( -0.64) | 25.98% ( -0.49) | 52.66% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.02% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.39% ( 1.08) | 57.6% ( -1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.62% ( 0.85) | 78.38% ( -0.85) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.7% ( -0.04) | 42.3% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.31% ( -0.03) | 78.69% ( 0.03) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.03% ( 0.95) | 21.97% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.73% ( 1.41) | 55.27% ( -1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezuela | Draw | Brazil |
| 1-0 @ 8% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.36% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.62% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 14.08% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 10.67% ( 0.17)1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 5.39% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.9% Total : 52.66% |
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