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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Napoli |
31.5% ( 0.25) | 25.29% | 43.21% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.93% ( 0.09) | 48.07% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.76% ( 0.08) | 70.23% ( -0.08) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( 0.21) | 28.71% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% ( 0.26) | 64.53% ( -0.27) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( -0.08) | 22.2% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.39% ( -0.12) | 55.61% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.5% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.21% |
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