Barcelona found it difficult against Getafe on the opening weekend of the season, and this has the potential to be a very difficult game for Xavi's side. Villarreal have a lot of talent all over the pitch, and we are actually backing a high-scoring draw in Sunday's contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
2.54) 
-2.67) 
