SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 63.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 14.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Moreirense |
63.9% ( -0.34) | 21.21% ( 0.28) | 14.88% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.27% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.53% ( -1.07) | 48.47% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.4% ( -0.98) | 70.6% ( 0.98) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.51% ( -0.45) | 14.49% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.52% ( -0.87) | 42.48% ( 0.87) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.28% ( -0.57) | 44.72% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.29% ( -0.47) | 80.71% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.37% Total : 63.89% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.21% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.38% Total : 14.88% |
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