SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-3 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
15.49% ( 0.17) | 17.4% ( 0.11) | 67.11% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 62.58% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.65% ( -0.18) | 29.35% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.59% ( -0.23) | 50.4% ( 0.23) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.11% ( 0.08) | 31.88% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.67% ( 0.09) | 68.33% ( -0.08) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.87% ( -0.1) | 8.13% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.47% ( -0.27) | 28.53% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 15.49% | 1-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 17.4% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 7.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.83% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 4.9% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.46% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.29% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)1-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.92% Total : 67.11% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
