Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 78.43%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 8.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.8%) and 1-2 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 2-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester City |
8.2% (![]() | 13.37% (![]() | 78.43% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.16% (![]() | 29.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.01% (![]() | 50.99% (![]() |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.96% (![]() | 44.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.85% (![]() | 80.15% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.95% (![]() | 6.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.97% (![]() | 23.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester City |
2-1 @ 2.51% (![]() 1-0 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.53% Total : 8.2% | 1-1 @ 6.13% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 13.37% | 0-2 @ 10.48% (![]() 0-3 @ 9.8% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 8.04% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 4.33% Total : 78.43% |
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