SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 78.43%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 8.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.8%) and 1-2 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 2-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester City |
8.2% ( -0.9) | 13.37% ( -0.51) | 78.43% ( 1.41) |
| Both teams to score 52.58% ( -2.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.16% ( -0.73) | 29.83% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.01% ( -0.88) | 50.99% ( 0.89) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.96% ( -2.5) | 44.03% ( 2.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.85% ( -2.13) | 80.15% ( 2.13) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.95% ( 0.1) | 6.05% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.97% ( 0.28) | 23.02% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.53% Total : 8.2% | 1-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.31)0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.14% Total : 13.37% | 0-2 @ 10.48% ( 0.55) 0-3 @ 9.8% ( 0.57)1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 8.04% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.35)0-4 @ 6.87% ( 0.44)1-4 @ 5.64% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 3.86% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.27)1-5 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.17)0-6 @ 1.8% ( 0.13)1-6 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.09)Other @ 4.33% Total : 78.43% |
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