Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
