Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.