Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 51.04%. A win for York City had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kettering Town would win this match.
