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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Feb 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
L

Carrick
1 - 2
Larne

Macuilaitis (23')
Forsythe (40'), Crowe (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Graham (66'), O'Connor (83')
Ferguson (24'), Cosgrove (52'), Gallagher (71')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 2-1 Carrick
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 1-1 Portadown
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
25.83% (0.023 0.02) 28.91% (0.561 0.56) 45.26% (-0.58 -0.58)
Both teams to score 41.84% (-1.359 -1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.05% (-1.72 -1.72)63.95% (1.723 1.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.85% (-1.245 -1.25)83.15% (1.247 1.25)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.39% (-0.964 -0.96)41.61% (0.966 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.9% (-0.858 -0.86)78.1% (0.861 0.86)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (-1.125 -1.13)28.34% (1.127 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (-1.441 -1.44)64.08% (1.445 1.45)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 25.83%
    Larne 45.25%
    Draw 28.9%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.381 0.38)
2-1 @ 5.72% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.53% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.67% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.05% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 25.83%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 11.79% (0.73 0.73)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.193 -0.19)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 28.9%
0-1 @ 14.86% (0.47 0.47)
0-2 @ 9.37% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.94% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 45.25%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Glenavon 2-1 Carrick
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-0 Ballymena
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 3-0 Carrick
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-0 Crusaders
Monday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 0-0 Carrick
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-0 Loughgall
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 1-1 Portadown
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 2-1 Ballymena
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 2-0 Cliftonville
Friday, January 10 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-3 Larne
Tuesday, January 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 0-0 Carrick
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 0-1 Larne
Monday, December 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership


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