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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Feb 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
L

Carrick
vs.
Larne

 
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Loughgall 3-0 Carrick
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Carrick vs. Glentoran
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 0-1 KF Ballkani (4-1 pen.)
Thursday, August 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Next Game: Lincoln vs. Larne
Thursday, August 22 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%).

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
33.54% (0.341 0.34) 27.29% (0.133 0.13) 39.17% (-0.477 -0.48)
Both teams to score 49.71% (-0.338 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.24% (-0.462 -0.46)55.75% (0.459 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.11% (-0.379 -0.38)76.89% (0.375 0.38)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)31.2% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)27.75% (0.484 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (-0.626 -0.63)63.32% (0.622 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 33.53%
    Larne 39.16%
    Draw 27.28%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.173 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.87% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 33.53%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.66% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 11.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 39.16%

Form Guide
Last Game: Loughgall 3-0 Carrick
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-0 Dundela
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Glebe Rangers 0-7 Carrick
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Carrick 1-3 Bangor
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Lisburn Distillery 0-8 Carrick
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Larne 0-1 KF Ballkani (4-1 pen.)
Thursday, August 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KF Ballkani 0-1 Larne
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Larne 0-4 RFS
Wednesday, July 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: RFS 3-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 10 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Larne 5-0 Coleraine
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 1-1 Larne
Monday, April 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership


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