Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
