Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 35.38%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (12.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
