Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad B win with a probability of 35.4%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad B win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad B would win this match.
