Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 51.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Real Sociedad B win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
