All things considered, this is a game which Genoa need to win, and we expect them to go all out for three points. However, Empoli will be satisfied with a draw at this stage, and the visitors could do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Empoli
31.3%	25.16%	43.54%

Both teams to score 55.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.39%

47.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.19%

69.81%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38%

28.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.58%

64.42%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.15%

21.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.91%

55.08%

Score Analysis

Genoa 31.3%

Empoli 43.54%

Draw 25.15%

Genoa	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 7.82% 2-1 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.3%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-2 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 4.59% 0-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.54%