SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
29.85% ( -0.5) | 24.45% ( -0.31) | 45.7% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( 0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.89% ( 1.12) | 45.11% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.54% ( 1.07) | 67.46% ( -1.07) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( 0.23) | 28.34% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.93% ( 0.29) | 64.07% ( -0.28) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( 0.81) | 19.86% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.05% ( 1.29) | 51.95% ( -1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.3)2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.85% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.98% Total : 45.7% |
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