Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 15.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for an Alessandria win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
