Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alessandria win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alessandria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Alessandria	Draw	SPAL
38.55%	28.39%	33.05%

Both teams to score 46.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.1%

59.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.84%

80.16%

Alessandria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.88%

30.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.74%

66.26%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.34%

33.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.69%

70.31%

Score Analysis

Alessandria 38.55%

SPAL 33.04%

Draw 28.38%

Alessandria	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 12.16% 2-1 @ 7.95% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.55%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.38%	0-1 @ 11.03% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.04%