Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Crotone	Draw	Perugia
32.88%	27.43%	39.69%

Both teams to score 49.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.58%

56.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.57%

77.43%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.01%

31.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.56%

68.44%

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23%

27.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.65%

63.35%

Score Analysis

Crotone 32.87%

Perugia 39.69%

Draw 27.43%

Crotone	Draw	Perugia
1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.87%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 8.31% 0-2 @ 7.29% 1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.69%