Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Monza had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
