Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.
