Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
