Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Boston River | 15 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Penarol | 15 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 24 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Montevideo City Torque | 15 | -4 | 13 |
14 | Cerro Largo | 15 | -16 | 12 |
15 | Cerrito | 15 | -13 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 60.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Cerro Largo |
60.23% ( -0.98) | 24.28% ( 0.82) | 15.49% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 40.23% ( -1.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.22% ( -2.52) | 58.77% ( 2.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.7% ( -2) | 79.29% ( 2) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( -1.32) | 19.4% ( 1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.78% ( -2.2) | 51.21% ( 2.2) |
Cerro Largo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.91% ( -1.28) | 50.08% ( 1.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.28% ( -0.9) | 84.71% ( 0.9) |
Score Analysis |
Penarol | Draw | Cerro Largo |
1-0 @ 15.93% ( 0.84) 2-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.34) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.19) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.49% Total : 60.22% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.89) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.42% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.64% Total : 15.49% |
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