Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
