SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Boston River | 23 | 7 | 41 |
| 4 | Penarol | 22 | 8 | 37 |
| 5 | Deportivo Maldonado | 23 | 3 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Danubio | 23 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Fenix | 22 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 | Montevideo City Torque | 23 | -1 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 58.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 16.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.94%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Fenix |
58.8% ( 0.58) | 25.12% ( -0.16) | 16.09% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 39.33% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.33% ( -0.03) | 60.67% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.26% ( -0.02) | 80.74% ( 0.02) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( 0.22) | 20.7% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% ( 0.34) | 53.31% ( -0.34) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.6% ( -0.59) | 50.41% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.06% ( -0.41) | 84.94% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 16.43% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 58.79% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.39% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.63% Total : 16.09% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
