Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Liverpool in this match.
